Tuesday, May 22 2012, 07:57 PM EDT
2012 hurricane season predictions
The last time a big storm hit South Florida was seven years ago when Hurricane Wilma came ashore. But will our luck run out this year? Forecasters at Colorado State just released their predictions for the Atlantic season.
Forecasters from Colorado State anticipate less activity with fewer storms than what we're used to. Bill Gray and company forecast 10 named storms, 4 hurricanes, and only 2 of those major storms. This is below the average of 11 storms, 6 hurricanes and 2 major hurricanes.
Their forecast calls for a 24-percent chance of a major storm making landfall somewhere along the east coast of the U.S. That's below the average of 31-percent.
Why the quieter season? Water temperatures over the Atlantic are cooler than average. El Nino is due back later this summer. Those warmer than normal water temperatures in the east Pacific cause wind shear over the Atlantic which helps to disrupt storms from developing.
That wind shear if strong enough cuts off the upward flow of air through a storm. This can prevent or reduce its development. Despite the quieter season ahead, experts have an important message for all of us.
Dan Brown/National Hurricane Center: I would stress to people not to pay too much attention to the seasonal outlook. Know that the hurricane season is right around the corner if you're the one to get hit.
This means you should still stock up on hurricane supplies and have your hurricane plan in place just in case.
Forecasters from Colorado State anticipate less activity with fewer storms than what we're used to. Bill Gray and company forecast 10 named storms, 4 hurricanes, and only 2 of those major storms. This is below the average of 11 storms, 6 hurricanes and 2 major hurricanes.
Their forecast calls for a 24-percent chance of a major storm making landfall somewhere along the east coast of the U.S. That's below the average of 31-percent.
Why the quieter season? Water temperatures over the Atlantic are cooler than average. El Nino is due back later this summer. Those warmer than normal water temperatures in the east Pacific cause wind shear over the Atlantic which helps to disrupt storms from developing.
That wind shear if strong enough cuts off the upward flow of air through a storm. This can prevent or reduce its development. Despite the quieter season ahead, experts have an important message for all of us.
Dan Brown/National Hurricane Center: I would stress to people not to pay too much attention to the seasonal outlook. Know that the hurricane season is right around the corner if you're the one to get hit.
This means you should still stock up on hurricane supplies and have your hurricane plan in place just in case.
Hurricane Ready Guide (English / Español)
Click to download
CBS12 Hurricane Tracker
Tropical Satellite Radar Animation
CBS12 StormTrac Weather Center
CBS12 StormTrac Weather Blog
Click to download
CBS12 Hurricane Tracker
Tropical Satellite Radar Animation
CBS12 StormTrac Weather Center
CBS12 StormTrac Weather Blog
Helpful Emergency Lists (Print These!)
Hurricane Emergency Kit
Important Phone Numbers
Cleaning Up Your Yard
Seven Home Improvements
Hurricane Emergency Kit
Important Phone Numbers
Cleaning Up Your Yard
Seven Home Improvements
In the Wake of a Hurricane
Do's and Don'ts
What to do to stay safe
Proceed with Caution
Generator Safety
Help, After the Storm
Do's and Don'ts
What to do to stay safe
Proceed with Caution
Generator Safety
Help, After the Storm
- HURRICANE SPECIAL
-
Governor's Hurricane Conference: Lessons learned from last year
-
5 day outlook: More lead time for hurricanes?
-
2012 hurricane season coasts to an end but still makes the record books
-
Red Cross keeping local shelters open
-
ISAAC: Closures and cancellations in South Florida and the Treasure Coast
-
Florida Power and Light is operating in storm mode
-
Florida Keys bracing for the worst of Tropical Storm Isaac
-
Isaac drenches Haiti, Cuba and heads toward Florida
-
Isaac forces GOP to cancel first day of Republican National Convention
-
Isaac forces GOP to cancel first day of Republican National Convention
-
Okeechobee County meeting at 9am Sunday to discuss Tropical Storm Isaac
-
With Isaac on the way Lake Worth is not taking any chances
-
Tropical storm Isaac doesn't have to make a direct hit to severely affect the turtle population
-
Governor Rick Scott declares state of emergency
-
Palm Beach County Schools delay school status announcement until Sunday
-
Okeechobee County meeting at 9am Sunday to discuss Tropical storm Isaac
-
Shelters will open in Palm Beach County
-
FIU shows off category 5 hurricane simulator
-
UPDATED: South Florida in the 5-day cone for Tropical Storm Isaac
-
From relentless rains to tornados: Debby packed a punch
-
Hundreds of homes underwater, roads washed out in northern Florida
-
Help hotline created for Debby victims
-
In Debby's wake, north Florida worries about a mosquito baby boom
-
Clay County residents escape Debby's destruction going to higher ground
-
2 sections of Interstate 10 remain closed in north Florida due to flooding
-
Debby weakens but still poses flood threat in north Florida
-
Sign up for breaking news and weather alerts from CBS12 News!
-
Palm Beach Gardens EOC put through their paces to be hurricane ready
-
NOAA: Expect less activity this hurricane season
-
EOC preps non-profits for hurricane season
-
2012 hurricane season predictions
-
Don't get blown away by hurricane insurance costs
-
Neighbors helping neighbors when a hurricane hits
-
Florida Power and Light hurricane drills
-
Be hurricane smarter with your smartphone
-
Hurricane Ready: Planning on a budget
-
Hurricane Planning: Create your emergency supply kit
-
The most common myths of Hurricane Season

